Over the
past decade, China’s domestic coal output has more than doubled while its coal
imports have increased by a factor of 60—the country’s dependence on other
nations’ coal exports is growing. In 2009,
the global coal market witnessed a dramatic realignment as China burst onto the
scene, importing coal from as far away as Colombia and the United States. With
182 million tons (Mt) of coal sourced from overseas suppliers in 2011, China
has overtaken Japan as the world’s top coalimporter. More over, as the world’s top coal consumer, China’s
imports could rise significantly again by 2015.
Given
the enormous size of China’s domestic coal reserves, why is China moving to import
coal from abroad instead of producing all its needs domestically? Might this phenomenon
be as superfluous and foolhardy as carrying coals to Newcastle , England ’s
major exporter of coal in the fifteenth century? New castle , after all, had more coal than anywhere
else.
Several factors could be contributing to China ’s sudden entrance into coal import
markets, including transportation bottlenecks, environmental and safety considerations,
economic factors, and concerns about depleting coking coal reserves. Gaining a
thorough understanding of the paradigm shift underway in the international coal
trade requires exploring these factors in order to develop policies to best manage
burgeoning coal imports in China
and beyond.
First, China will need to enhance its coal value chain—from coal mining to preparation, transport, and end use—to improve efficiency, reduce the environmental and carbon footprint of coal, and address safety in the face of China’s increased global coal utilization and trade.
Second, it will be important to gain a better understanding of the relative costs and benefits of China’s emerging coal trade and the differences among Chinese mining companies and between Chinese and foreign mining operations regarding mining practices, regulatory oversight, and operations.
Third, the parallels underpinning energy and climate concerns in
the United States and China could
serve as the impetus for more bilateral cooperation on common coal conditions.
Finally, oversight over growing global coal markets could be organized through
new governance structures—international forums, regulations and standards,
fiscal measures, and information—spearheaded by major coal export and import
nations.
China is rich in coal, which accounts for 95 percent of the country’s fossil fuel endowments. According to the Chinese Ministry of Land and Resources, China’s proven coal reserves of 170 billion tons correspond to 19 percent of the global total, ranking second in the world after the United States.
Not surprisingly, coal has
long been China ’s
most dominant fuel. Since the Chinese economy was opened to the outside world
in 1978, coal consumption has been on a steady march upward, dominated by power
generation and industrial use. By 2010, China ’s coal consumption stood at
nearly half of the global total. In the same year, Chinese coal made up 45 percent of total global
production and currently represents 68 percent of the country’s primary energy
consumption.
As the amount of China ’s coal
imports has drastically increased, so too has the number of its coal trade
partners. Currently, Indonesia
and Australia are the two
largest overseas coal suppliers to China . During China ’s eleventh five-year plan period between
2006 and 2010, these two countries accounted for half of China ’s total
coal imports. But there is a difference in the mixture of products coming from
each of the two suppliers. Indonesian exports to China
are dominated by steam coal, which is suitable for producing steam and mainly used
in power generation; it accounted for 95 percent of Indonesian shipments to China in 2010.
In comparison, coking coal, which is primarily used for industrial processes
like iron and steel production, represented 63 percent of total Australian coal
exports to China
in the same year.
The environment
could also play a part in China ’s
coal-importing decisions. Importing coal from overseas markets might enable the
Chinese central government to close down many small and inefficient mines and
prevent similar mines from being opened up, thereby protecting local
environments. Still, no matter where coal is mined, the process often has
detrimental environmental effects on the host country. Evaluating this local
impact against global environmental challenges and preventing a mere shifting
of local environmental burdens from China
to other coal-producing countries requires closer collaboration between China and its
major coal trading partners.
There is a vast
amount of literature on local environmental degradation associated with coal
mining activities. Local ecosystems and the health of residents adjacent to
coal mines are particularly at risk. Acidic mine drainage and toxic coal sludge
can contaminate local streams and groundwater. Mountain top removal causes
forest destruction, loss of wildlife habitats, and subsequent erosion, while
underground mining can lead to land subsidence. Local air pollutants—nitrogen
oxide and sulfur dioxide, and toxic heavy metals, such as lead, mercury, and
arsenic—cause damage to human health. And coal dust, which is stirred up
through coal mining, preparation, transport, storage, and end use, can cause
severe respiratory problems.
Moreover, both coal
mining and processing are water intensive. Because many of China ’s coal
resources are located in arid regions, Chinese coal mining operations often
compete with residents and agriculture for access to scarce water resources. As
mining activities often draw heavily from ground water sources, they have
depleted groundwater levels in many coal districts. This has detrimental
effects on local flora and fauna, especially during increasingly more frequent
periods of drought.
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