A place were I can write...

My simple blog of pictures of travel, friends, activities and the Universe we live in as we go slowly around the Sun.



December 29, 2021

Covid Covid.....

U.S. sets new daily high for Covid cases

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tally represents a grim new milestone in the coronavirus pandemic.

By BEN LEONARD

The U.S. logged its highest single-day total of new Covid-19 cases on Tuesday, with 441,278 infections surpassing the previous daily record by close to 150,000.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tally represents a grim new milestone in the coronavirus pandemic and comes as the Omicron strain has quickly taken hold throughout the U.S., leading to long lines at testing sites and sold-out rapid tests at many stores.

It also comes after the Christmas holiday shuttered testing sites and may have contributed to testing backlogs.

A CDC spokesperson said that the daily case total is likely an "overestimate" due to lagging state reporting.

"The counts of cases will become more stable after the new year," CDC spokesperson Jasmine Reed told POLITICO.

Officials logged more than 291,000 new cases Dec. 20, nearly eclipsing the previous record of 294,015 set last winter, before vaccines were widely available. The U.S. averaged 240,408 new cases per day over the past week, well more than double the rate in early December.

Daily Covid-19 infections

The CDC revised its estimate for Omicron’s prevalence earlier Tuesday, sharply cutting a previous estimate that the variant accounted for 73.2 percent of cases nationwide on Dec. 18 to 22.5 percent.

The agency's latest modeling estimates Omicron made up about 58.6 percent of U.S. cases as of Dec. 25.

The surge comes as many Americans gather with loved ones for the holidays, with data from the Transportation Security Administration showing air travel at levels close to pre-pandemic 2019 figures.

The rising caseload has prompted the Biden administration to roll out a plan to help curb the variant, includes delivering 500 free million in-home rapid tests to Americans after previously declining to make tests free.

The administration has urged Americans to get vaccinated and boosted and also plans on establishing FEMA surge facilities and vaccination sites while preparing to send protective equipment and troops and medical workers to overburdened hospitals.

It is not yet clear how Omicron’s severity compares to previous variants, including Delta, though officials have been optimistic that it may be less severe. But some public health officials fear Omicron’s surge is again straining the nation’s health care system.

More Covid stuff...

CDC defends new Covid isolation guidelines

Director Rochelle Walensky acknowledged that the decision to shorten the quarantine period “really had a lot to do with what we thought people would be able to tolerate.”

By QUINT FORGEY

CDC Director Rochelle Walensky on Wednesday sought to deflect several lines of skepticism about the agency’s newly shortened, five-day period of recommended isolation for asymptomatic individuals who test positive for Covid-19.

The multi-part defense from Walensky — who appeared on at least five TV networks on Wednesday morning — comes as the Biden administration has begun instituting new guidance and considering further restrictions to curb an explosion of U.S. coronavirus cases caused by the surging Omicron variant.

But the shifting instruction from federal health officials has prompted some criticism that the administration is prioritizing a return to economic normalcy over the safety of Americans who could still be infected by asymptomatic co-workers, even after they self-quarantine for five days.

On Wednesday, Walensky acknowledged that the CDC’s decision to alter the recommended isolation period “really had a lot to do with what we thought people would be able to tolerate.”

“We have seen relatively low rates of isolation for all of this pandemic. Some science has demonstrated less than a third of people are isolating when they need to,” Walensky told CNN. “And so we really want to make sure that we had guidance in this moment — where we were going to have a lot of disease — that could be adhered to, that people were willing to adhere to and that spoke specifically to when people were maximally infectious.”

Indeed, the U.S. on Tuesday logged its highest single-day total of new Covid-19 cases, with 441,278 infections surpassing the previous daily record by close to 150,000. The dire state of the pandemic across the country demanded a change in CDC guidance, Walensky said on Wednesday.

“Our guidance was conservative before. It had said 10 days of isolation,” Walensky told CNN. “But in the context of the fact that we were going to have so many more cases — many of those would be asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic — people would feel well enough to be at work, they would not necessarily tolerate being home, and that they may not comply with being home, this was the moment that we needed to make that decision and those changes.”

Last Thursday, the administration announced that health care workers who test positive for Covid-19 would be allowed to return to work after seven days, as opposed to the previously recommended 10 days, if they tested negative and were asymptomatic after their isolation period.

Furthermore, the CDC advised that health care workers’ isolation period could be cut to five days, or even fewer, in the event of severe staffing shortages at U.S. hospitals.

Then, on Monday, the CDC announced that individuals who test positive for Covid-19 and are asymptomatic need to isolate for only five days, not 10 days, citing increasing evidence that people are most infectious in the initial days after developing symptoms.

“This was really a way to tell people: Make sure you isolate in those first five days, when you’re maximally infected,” Walensky told NBC on Wednesday.

December 28, 2021

Play the victim

You can't troll the President with 'Let's go, Brandon' and then play the victim

Opinion By Dean Obeidallah

Jared Schmeck, a 35-year-old father in Oregon, essentially cursed at President Joe Biden during a livestreamed phone call on Christmas Eve and rightfully triggered a mini firestorm.

With families watching a live "Santa tracker" event featuring the President and first lady Jill Biden, Schmeck called in and was one of the lucky people chosen to speak to the first family. The call began amicably enough, as Schmeck described what his young children wanted for Christmas and Joe Biden joked that the kids -- who, according to an interview with Schmeck, were listening in on the call -- had to get to bed by 9 p.m. in order for Santa to come.

After both of the Bidens took turns wishing Schmeck and his family "a wonderful Christmas," the father of four responded with "Merry Christmas" followed by the coded phrase, "Let's go Brandon!" For those unaware, "Let's go Brandon" is a right-wing chant that means, "F**k Joe Biden."

The origin for this phrase appears to come from a NASCAR race in early October, when a reporter misheard some in the crowd chanting "F**k Joe Biden," thinking instead they were cheering for race car driver Brandon Brown with the statement, "Let's go Brandon."

Since then, various figures on the right -- from GOP members of Congress to Donald Trump Jr. -- have used the saying "Let's go Brandon" to tell Biden to ... well, you know.

On Friday, Schmeck took it one step further by trolling the Bidens to their face with this coded expression. The father of four is now -- as you might imagine -- facing a tsunami of criticism for essentially dropping the coded equivalent of an "F"-bomb on a live Christmas Eve special designed for families to track Santa Claus.

For example, Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell of California tweeted, "I refuse to believe we are this indecent as people. Not on Christmas Eve ... We are better than this. Be kind and #MerryChristmas."

I believe that, as Americans, we have the right to say anything we want to criticize a President -- from "Let's go Brandon" to a blatant "F**k you." Our right to freedom of speech must be vigilantly protected, especially when speaking about political issues and our elected officials.

Schmeck's remark on a Christmas Eve special with families watching was despicable, yet he should still have the right to say it if he chooses. (A YouTube video of the call seemingly posted by members of Schmeck's family claims in the description that he was unaware the call was being livestreamed.)

That said, there's plenty else for which to slam Schmeck. First, I find it pathetic that Schmeck and others on the right are being politically correct when it comes to saying what they truly feel about a president. If you want to curse out a sitting POTUS, at least have the courage to do it outright rather than playing politically correct games and hiding behind coded phrases.

When the slogan was first accidentally created, "Let's go Brandon" seemed to some a funny way to criticize Biden. But that's long gone, as the right burned out the phrase by overuse -- from the Michigan Conservative Coalition naming a fall festival after the phrase to a Republican member of Congress wearing a face mask on the House floor with the phrase on it to a GOP candidate for Congress in Florida spelling out the words in his Christmas light display and on and on.

If the right had a wider pool of professional comedians, perhaps they could come up with fresher ways to be funny in criticizing Biden -- but then again, you could fit all the famous conservative comedians in a Toyota Prius and still have room in the backseat for packages.

But even worse than the cowardice of being PC when it comes to political insults is that Schmeck is now doing the cliché conservative move of saying he's being unfairly criticized because people have slammed his "joke." Schmeck complained to The Oregonian about threatening calls he received after the livestream, saying, "now I am being attacked for utilizing my freedom of speech."

Aww, poor "victim" Schmeck. Apparently, he thinks he should be able to tell Biden to basically go f**k himself while on a family friendly holiday call, but no one should be able to take issue with his actions.

Sorry, that's not how freedom of speech works. If you want to troll a president to apparently make others on the right happy, you can expect criticism. If you don't want criticism because you are painfully thin-skinned, then don't say "Let's go Brandon" on a live Christmas Eve special. It's as simple as that.

Schmeck told a local Oregon paper that he was not a "Trumper," and acknowledged that "Let's go Brandon" does have a "vulgar" meaning but claimed that vulgarity was not his intention. Instead, he said it was "an innocent jest to also express my God-given right to express my frustrations in a joking manner" about Biden's policies, such as the federal vaccine mandates and rising inflation.

However, any doubts about Schmeck's partisan intent ended Monday when, as Raw Story reported, he appeared on Steve Bannon's podcast, where he rebutted the earlier reports he was not a Trump supporter. He also declared, "Donald Trump is my president and he should still be president right now." Schmeck then added the lie, "The election was 100% stolen. So, I just want to make that clear."

Schmeck seems to have the right's victimhood mentality down pat. Still, I don't have any ill wishes towards Jared Schmeck.

Instead, I just hope he enjoys Biden's upcoming second year as president. And oh yeah, I hope no one tells him: "Let's go Jared!"

All-time peak

Several US states at or near all-time peak Covid-19 hospitalization levels

Matthew Hilk

Even as hospitalizations rise more gradually compared to surging Omicron case numbers, some parts of the US are seeing Covid-19 hospitalizations at or near all-time records for the pandemic. 

Four states — Michigan, Vermont, Maine and New Hampshire — hit their all-time pandemic peak hospitalization numbers this month, according to a CNN review of data from the US Department of Health and Human Services.

All four have seen hospitalizations decline in the last few days.

Other areas are seeing hospitalization numbers near pandemic peaks.

Washington, DC, with 363 hospitalized as of Monday, is nearly tied with its peak of 383 in January. Ohio, Indiana and Delaware are all seeing hospital numbers at least 80% as high as their all-time records last winter, according to a CNN analysis of HHS data.

Missing Something....

If You Think “Don’t Look Up” Is Just an Allegory About Climate Change, You’re Missing Something

We’re woefully unprepared to deal with any existential risk at all.

TYLER AUSTIN HARPER

Streaming just in time for Christmas, Adam McKay’s decidedly uncheery Netflix comedy, Don’t Look Up, finds Jennifer Lawrence and Leonardo DiCaprio playing a pair of intrepid astronomers as they try (and mostly fail) to warn the world about a planet-killing comet that’s hurtling toward Earth. From the beginning, the scientists’ efforts are marked by futility, encapsulated in an early scene in which Kate Dibiasky (Lawrence) and Randall Mindy (DiCaprio) are brought to the White House to debrief President Janie Orlean (Meryl Streep) on the impending extinction-level event.

Predictably, the meeting goes disastrously. The president’s son and chief of staff (played by Jonah Hill) lounges on the couch, nurses a bad case of coke sniffles, and proclaims to be “so bored” by all the world-ending comet talk. Orlean, exhibiting a similar degree of impatience, interrupts the astronomers’ presentation to ask, “What is this going to cost me? What’s the ask here?” before lamenting that the midterms are on the horizon. “The timing is just atrocious,” she opines.

Although the head of NASA’s Planetary Defense Coordination Office, Teddy Oglethorpe (Rob Morgan), advises her that NASA has plans in place to deter such a catastrophe, Orlean decides that the game plan will be to “sit tight and assess” until after the election. The experts in the room are astounded, shocked that political expediency, rather than planetary protection, will dictate the U.S. response to a crisis that is entirely preventable. Sound familiar?

It is scenes like this that lead many critics to see Don’t Look Up as a rather on-the-nose commentary not about rogue comets, but rather America’s failure to address climate change. Writing in the Intercept, Jon Schwarz even compares Don’t Look Up to the heralded nuclear war black comedy Dr. Strangelove, going so far as to suggest that the former might galvanize climate activism in the same way that the latter supercharged the anti-nuclear movement during the Cold War. He is not alone in this view: The overwhelming consensus among critics is that McKay’s new comedy is an allegory for climate change, a film that lampoons our refusal to take sufficient action to deter an all-too-real environmental crisis that is rapidly spiraling out of control.

This interpretation of the film makes sense, and there are good reasons to endorse it. Don’t Look Up is, after all, a movie about a social media–obsessed civilization ignoring scientists as they warn the world about a threat to life on Earth, only to be undermined by politicians and business-folk who prioritize present profits over future peril. It also doesn’t hurt that DiCaprio, who plays a leading role as a bumbling astronomer, is one of the world’s foremost celebrity climate activists. However, while the critical consensus that Don’t Look Up is a climate change allegory is certainly not wrong, this interpretation is also limited.

Yet there’s a flip side to allegorical interpretations: They can also function like blinders, illuminating one viewpoint while crowding out competing ideas.

Calling a movie (or novel) an allegory is often a way of saying that it’s smarter than it appears at first blush. When critics or academics proclaim that George Orwell’s Animal Farm isn’t really a book about talking pigs but totalitarianism, for example, they’re making the case that the novel has a subterranean, secret, and above all more serious meaning. At its most basic, reading allegorically is about digging deeper, going beyond the “surface” of a work that we might otherwise be tempted to dismiss as a fluffy blockbuster or escapist beach reading—like a comedy or science fiction movie—and revealing it as doing intellectual heavy lifting. Yet there’s a flip side to allegorical interpretations: They can also function like blinders, illuminating one viewpoint while crowding out competing ideas.

In the case of Don’t Look Up, insisting that the film is just an allegory for global warming blinds us to the fact that in addition to satirizing our climate inaction, the film draws attention to the fact that the human species is threatened with extinction on multiple fronts: climate change, yes, but also renewed tension among nuclear powers, the possibility of malevolent artificial intelligence, supervolcanoes of the sort lurking beneath Yellowstone, pandemics for which COVID may be a mere dress rehearsal, and, of course, comets.

In academic parlance, we call threats like these “existential risks”: disasters that carry with them the possibility of human extinction or global social collapse from which we could not reconstitute civilization. Yet, unlike climate change, most existential risks are understudied, underpublicized, and underfunded: Toby Ord, an Oxford ethicist and one of the leading scholars on human extinction, often notes that the Biological Weapons Convention—the international body whose job it is to prevent human extinction through biological warfare—has an annual budget of less than $2 million. As Ord likes to point out, that operating budget is smaller than that of the average American McDonald’s franchise. Like Don’t Look Up, it’s a fact so scary it might make you laugh if it doesn’t make you cry.

One of the strengths of McKay’s film is not only that it draws attention to how unprepared we are—both institutionally and culturally—to confront existential risks. It also shines a spotlight on the danger of allowing politicians and businesses, rather than scientists, to run point when it comes to threats to the human species. In Don’t Look Up, this dynamic is brilliantly spoofed in the form of a Silicon Valley tech guru—and “third richest human ever”—named Peter Isherwell. Sporting the vacant stare of a man who just chased three hours of hot yoga with a couple of bong rips, Isherwell speaks in a squeaky mix of tech jargon and New Age chakra-chatter.

However, Isherwell’s innocuous bearing also obscures his inner cunning: He has discovered that the doomsday comet contains “$32 trillion worth of materials” necessary to produce smartphones and computers. Before you know it, he has convinced the president to abandon NASA’s mission to save Earth by blowing the comet off course with nuclear weapons. Instead, the federal government partners with Isherwell’s company, BASH, to devise a scheme to break the comet up into manageable pieces so that it can be stripped of its precious resources. As if on cue, the comet becomes a hero to the American right—“We’re for the jobs this comet will provide,” intones one character—as Isherwell waits patiently for the space rock to line his pockets.

This might all sound far-fetched—the stuff of comedy whimsy—were it not for the fact that Isherwell is clearly a sendup of real-world tech billionaires like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos who are very much convinced that saving the human species from extinction might be extraordinarily lucrative. When Musk professes that his only goal in life is to terraform Mars so as to prevent human extinction—and that this is the only reason he is interested in accumulating wealth—we often dismiss such claims as the ravings of a megalomaniacal psychedelics enthusiast. Yet the SpaceX CEO puts his money where his mouth is: He sits on the board of Cambridge University’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, an organization to which he has donated $10 million.

Musk is not the only Silicon Valley slickster obsessed with human extinction: Jaan Tallinn (formerly of Skype) co-founded the CSER alongside the world-renowned astronomer Martin Rees. Open Philanthropy, the brainchild of Facebook co-founder Dustin Moskovitz, has recently pledged to donate more than $10 million to the Future of Life Institute, another human extinction think tank situated in Cambridge, Massachusetts. As for Bezos, his interest in saving the human race stretches all the way back to his 1982 high school valedictorian speech, during which he professed that “space is the only way to go” if we are to give our species a chance for a long tenure.

To be clear, I am not against billionaires throwing money at existential risk research—I’m glad someone is! Indeed, this Silicon Valley enthusiasm for preventing human extinction would be all well and good were it not for the fact that it is often hard to disentangle Musk’s and Bezos’ go-to-space-to-save-the-race schemes from their desire to profit from them. Like McKay’s character Isherwell, a growing number of tech titans not only view the cosmos as the final frontier for their fortunes, but are particularly enthusiastic about the promise of the kind of asteroid mining that Don’t Look Up mines for laughs.

Google co-founder Larry Page has recently pumped money into an asteroid-mining startup named Planetary Resources, while the Winklevoss twins have taken to arguing that cryptocurrency is a better long-term investment than gold since the latter will become devalued once Musk gets his asteroid mining operation up and running. As for Musk himself, he has remained cagey regarding his plans for space mining, yet as always his actions speak louder than words: In 2020, his company SpaceX won the lucrative contract for NASA’s Psyche mission. The goal? To “study” a massive asteroid chock-full of profitable heavy metals.

Some, like Martin Elvis of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, have argued that profits and planetary defense need not be mutually exclusive. In Elvis’ view, asteroid mining will create a “virtuous cycle” in which the desire to strip-mine the cosmos will drive comet research, and comet research will keep us safer from extinction by identifying those big bad space rocks that might snuff us out. That argument sounds good, but it also sidesteps a critical question: What might happen if the interests of the human species don’t line up perfectly with those of big business?

It is precisely this scenario that Don’t Look Up imagines, a warning that gets lost if we view the film only as a climate change allegory. Here, McKay both highlights the existential risk inherent to a nation that devalues scientific expertise—leaving us vulnerable to threats like climate change, COVID, and comets—and demonstrates how difficult it can be to separate a genuine desire to do good from the desire to turn a profit.

In this way, the film’s depiction of Isherwell is extremely savvy, resisting lazy villainizing: The BASH CEO is not presented as some fast-talking cynic who knows the Earth is doomed and doesn’t care. Rather, he is portrayed as a starry-eyed true believer, prone to waxing rapturous about the poverty-eliminating potential of the comet’s heavy metals. When a character accuses him of being a “businessman,” he becomes gravely (and hilariously) offended, proclaiming, in seeming earnestness, that his interests are solely virtuous. For Isherwell, the comet-busting mission is not just about precious materials; he insists that nothing less than “the evolution of the human species” is at stake.

And he’s right, of course, just not in the way he thinks. The film ends not with a whimper but a bang: The BASH mission fails and the comet slams as predicted into our Big Blue Marble, splitting the planet apart. When the camera pans out to survey the debris, we see smartphones, cars, and desiccated trees strewn amid the Earth’s mantle, a monument to our feeble will and our misplaced faith that technology, rather than cultural transformation, will save us. As both the film and the human species cut to credits, we are left with a prescient warning: about the hubris of billionaires, the corruption of politicians, a myopic American culture that gives rise to both, and a nation that is woefully unprepared to lead the world in the face of any existential risk, whether the threat be climate change or a careening comet.

Killing Us

Monsters: Cars, Which Are Killing Us and the Planet

Automobile deaths keep rising, and we keep doing…absolutely nothing.

TIM MURPHY

In American politics, deaths involving automobiles are discussed, when they are discussed at all, as a sort of fatalistic unit of measurement by which other kinds of deaths might be diminished. When the death toll from COVID-19 began to surge in this country in the spring of 2020, then-President Donald Trump invoked the high number of people who die as a result of car crashes to make the case for moving on. “That doesn’t mean we’re going to tell everybody no more driving of cars,” he said. If you ever talk about regulating firearms, a Republican member of Congress will appear like Candyman to tell you that actually cars kill more people.

Those arguments tend to fall a few fries short—the coronavirus, after all, has gone on to kill more Americans than the Civil War. But these are not really factual arguments so much as expressions of principle: The point these people make when they invoke the death toll of cars is that it represents something inevitable and therefore unsolvable, a tax we all pay for the whims of human fallibility. Offering a sheen of authority to this line of thinking, state and federal transportation agencies often claim that 94 percent of crashes are the result of human error. And what’s a government supposed to do about that?

But there’s nothing inevitable about it. The danger posed by cars—to passengers, pedestrians, cyclists, and the climate—is the product of policy. And in the last few years, the consequences of those policies have been particularly severe. Even as the number of vehicle miles driven plummeted in 2020, the number of people killed by cars grew by the highest percentage in 96 years. At the time, experts chalked that up to the variances of pandemic life, as open roads and anxieties enabled more reckless behaviors. But in 2021, passenger and pedestrian deaths rose even higher.

The increase has played out across the country, but it’s felt particularly acute where I live. The New York Times reported that as of mid-September, “At least 189 people—including 87 pedestrians and 12 cyclists” were killed in car crashes in New York City. That was up ”nearly 26 percent from the same period last year and the highest number of deaths in that period since 2013.” That same month, a driver with 91 speeding tickets killed a three-month-old in a stroller in my neighborhood in Brooklyn.

The rise in pedestrian deaths has coincided with the Clifford-esque growth of American trucks and SUVs over the last two decades. “Since 1990, U.S. pickup trucks have added almost 1,300 pounds on average,” the author Angie Schmitt wrote in Bloomberg this spring. As trucks and SUVs—which now dominate the market on new sales—have gotten bigger, their center of mass also gotten higher, which means that when they hit a pedestrian, they can strike them right in the organs, reducing the likelihood that a victim will survive. (Their XXL hoods and front grills also make it difficult to see pedestrians at all.) The popularity of these vehicles tells a story about the American consumer, certainly, but they’re also a product of the regulatory state. SUVs, for instance, are held to a lower emissions standard than other passenger vehicles because they’re technically classified as “light trucks” rather than cars. And auto manufacturers have been required to score the vehicle’s effect on passenger safety, but not pedestrian safety. That’s how you end up with tanks in the daycare pickup line.

During the pandemic, car sales soared in New York, as people looked for alternatives to public transit. There are 100,000 more cars on the streets now than there were before the pandemic began. You can feel this congestion in a visceral way; even our new mayor was caught driving on the sidewalk. But with work and travel disrupted, we also got a glimpse of a lifestyle that embraced the density and walkability that can make city-living special. There were blocks and blocks of open streets, free of most cars. Bike-share ridership exploded. E-bike sales soared. City-provided car storage gave way to curbside seating for restaurants. You could find Chuck Schumer on a random Sunday afternoon singing on the street with a live band. In the midst of a lot of governmental incompetence, New Yorkers stumbled on a better way to do things—livelier but also quieter, cleaner, healthier; prettier, cheaper, less dangerous, less miserable.

I got traffic-pilled, and once you get traffic-pilled, you start to see the power of the car everywhere. New York can’t store garbage in sealed, street-side containers like more forward-thinking cities because New York needs those spaces for private cars. (Which means everything smells all the time, yes, but also when it rains, the exposed garbage clogs the drains and aids flash floods.) Traffic enforcement, the historian Sarah Seo argued in her book Policing the Open Road, is arguably the glue for modern policing; it provides the legal structure, arbitrariness, and incentives, that make cops omnipresent.

It’s easy to start sounding like Andy Rooney if you’re not careful. (Probably a terrible driver, too, if we’re being honest.) I once went on a 22,000-mile road-trip and blogged about it for this magazine—I get the appeal of going on a long drive and, like, pumping gas at Buc-ee’s. No one’s coming to take away your car. Besides, after a century of accommodation, after the gutting of public transportation infrastructure and inter-city train and bus service, after decades of racist highway construction and planning that destroyed old communities and forced new ones to be more car-dependent, we’re sort of stuck in the imprint of a world created for the automobile for a while.

But the status quo that’s killing so many people and also the planet is a sum of a lot of different things governments and communities have the power to change. It’s a choice to add more new lanes to highways when studies show it only makes traffic worse. It’s a choice to let companies sell cars that do maximum damage to humans, or to essentially legalize vehicular homicide, or to focus enforcement resources on jaywalkers, or to let tractor trailers with bad visibility drive on dense city streets, or to subsidize parking and gas, or to mandate voluminous lots for new developments, or to fight congestion pricing, or to frame investments in popular alternatives such as e-bikes as niche hippie shit, or to let purportedly self-driving car companies beta-test their very-much-not-self-driving product on public streets.

David Zipper, a visiting fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School who focuses on issues of urban mobility, recently noted in The Atlantic that the idea that 94 percent of deaths are caused by human error is itself a myth that masks yet more choices—namely, those made by car companies and traffic engineers. You can design better, safer, slower roads and cars, and it’s not some huge mystery as to how.

The good news is that the infrastructure bill President Joe Biden—famously, a Car Guy—takes actual, tentative steps toward treating car safety in the United States with the same minimum threshold of seriousness with which it’s already treated in Europe. Among other things, the law mandates that auto manufacturers develop ratings for how safe their vehicles are for pedestrians—something they’ve resisted here for years—and instructs the Department of Transportation to produce guidelines for the front-end design of those cars. There’s also a provision to mandate in-car technology to prevent intoxicated people from driving—another long-sought reform.

The bad news is that such infrastructure packages are called “highway bills” for a reason. And for all its genuinely good components—subsidies for e-bikes and bike-share programs and electric cars; funding for mass transit; a potentially transformative $47 billion in climate spending—one of the signature domestic policy achievements of Joe Biden’s first year in office also does a lot to lock in the kind of car culture we ought to be rolling back if we want to make communities and the planet more livable.

I don’t have a ton of answers here, but in my defense, I’m not in charge of anything. I don’t even own a car! I just know that what we have now is neither desirable nor sustainable. It is killing the planet and kids and delivery workers and other drivers; it’s turning reasonable people into maniacs before 8 a.m.; and it sucks that we’ve oriented society around accommodating and incentivizing the most destructive sorts of vehicles to the maximal extent possible. Dial it back a little bit, is all I’m saying. Light slightly fewer billions of dollars on fire with highway expansion projects in 2022. Act as if you believe it when you say you want more people riding the bus, and clear some streets so they’re worth riding. Stop indulging bored billionaires. Install some roundabouts while you’re at it. Make trucks that merely look like trucks looked like in 1995, rather than trucks that look like they just ate a smaller truck and are having trouble digesting it.

Or don’t do any of that. Just…for the love of God, please stop letting Tesla owners play solitaire while they drive.

Whiplash

2021 Was a Year of “Weather Whiplash” in the West

Heat was the only constant.

JONATHAN THOMPSON

In early September of 2021, as the Caldor Fire raged toward Lake Tahoe through eastern California’s drought-addled forests, staff at the Sierra-at-Tahoe ski resort made a desperate bid to fend off the advancing flames: They aimed snowmaking machines at structures and cranked up the water-misting cannons to douse an area that hadn’t seen a lick of rain in months.

At the same time, some 500 miles due east, little more than a trickle of water ran down the broad sandy bed of the Dirty Devil River in eastern Utah. Then a moisture-laden storm dumped its load on the Henry Mountains, filling arroyos to the brim. Over the course of hours, the Dirty Devil’s flow shot up to a churning 14,000 cubic feet per second—more than four times that of the nearby Colorado River—≠—overflowing the normally dry arroyo’s banks. Water flowed six feet deep through streets and parking lots in Hanksville, sweeping away cars and a 500-gallon propane tank and inundating homes and hotels.

This stark contrast epitomizes 2021 in the West, where the devastating effects of drought were juxtaposed with drenching deluges in neighboring states. But amid all the weather whiplash, there was one constant: Temperatures were above “normal” all year long.   

2
Number of days in June the high temperature did not exceed 100 degrees in Phoenix, Arizona.

138
Estimated number of people who died of heat-related causes in Washington between June 26 and Aug. 31, 2021.

7
Number of heat-related fatalities in the state in 2020.

54
Number of heat-related fatalities in Multnomah County, Oregon, during the June “heat dome”; most of the victims were older, lived alone and lacked air conditioning, according to the county health department.

252
Number of confirmed heat-related fatalities in Maricopa County, Arizona, between April 11 and Nov. 1, 2021.

2
Number of weeks climate change has lengthened the growing season in the Greater Yellowstone region since 1950.

1.88 inches
Amount of precipitation received in Denver between June 1 and Nov. 30, the lowest since record-keeping began in 1872.

118 degrees Fahrenheit
Temperature at Dallesport, Washington, on June 28, the highest ever for the state.

111 degrees Fahrenheit
Temperature at Porthill, Idaho, on June 28.

56.77 inches
Amount of rain that fell in Quillayute, Washington, between Sept. 1 and Nov. 30, smashing the old record of 51.81 inches set in 1975.

2,261 to 3,637
Estimated number of sequoias over four feet in diameter killed by the Windy and KNP Complex fires in California in 2021.

1.76 inches
Amount of rain that fell in Cuba, New Mexico, on Sept. 30, a new monthly record for one-day precipitation.

80 cubic feet per second
Flow in the Rio Grande at Albuquerque on Oct. 25; the median flow for that date is 350 cfs.

24
Number of homes destroyed by a central Montana wildfire on Dec. 1.

Massive snowstorm

Bay Area visitors are stranded in Tahoe amid a massive snowstorm

Joshua Bote

Days after getting her picture-perfect white Christmas, San Francisco-based surgeon Dr. Karen Horton is just waiting — waiting to go out skiing with her family in Lake Tahoe, waiting to reschedule the dozens of appointments she was forced to cancel this week, waiting to go back to the bay.

She’s just one of the likely thousands of travelers stranded in Lake Tahoe after they arrived during the holidays, enduring punishing winds and snowfall so heavy it smashed Tahoe's December snowfall record set in 1970. The storm has left all major roads shuttered indefinitely, visitors scrambling to find last-minute accommodations and Tahoe residents struggling to get back into town after leaving the area. At least six people were hospitalized because of car crashes on the roads leading to Tahoe, KTVU reported.

On her way up, Horton recalled a fair bit of dangerous driving due to how seemingly ill-prepared some out-of-towners were for the trip. She noted that during her six-hour trip from San Rafael to Incline Village, she was delayed for an hour — twice — waiting at the chain checkpoint.

“On the sides of the road, especially at the chain checkpoint, there are a lot of drivers that are not prepared,” she said. “They're driving their Priuses or driving their Teslas, they don't have chains and they're still driving the same speeds that you would if the roads weren't covered in snow and ice. It's really scary.”

Horton also recalled lending another traveler, driving what she called a “non-SUV,” a shovel — noting how unprepared this person seemed for this snowstorm. “He wasn't wasn't wearing proper snow attire, and he looked really shell-shocked,” she said.

Demand for room and board in Tahoe also appears to be high. A call made by SFGATE to Harrah’s Lake Tahoe was put on hold for 15 minutes before it was seemingly hung up. As of Monday afternoon, only a few dozen last-minute properties are available for Monday and Tuesday on Airbnb. Most major ski resorts, including Heavenly and Sierra-at-Tahoe, are also closed.

Horton had anticipated a snowy holiday, but did not quite anticipate the severity of this snowstorm.

“There are worse places to be stuck,” Horton said, calling from her short-term lease in Incline Village, where she’s holed up with her husband, her 11-year-old twins and her dog.

She appears better prepared than many other Bay Area visitors. She just finished “burning 3,000 calories shoveling off our steps and walkway,” she joked during a call to SFGATE, but was able to go grocery shopping Sunday before her place was snowed in. She also came equipped with board games, portable chargers and other resources to keep her family busy and entertained. ("They obviously have their iPads and they're happy, you know, just like any tween," she said.)

For what it's worth, she might be something of an exception among the many travelers in town. Horton grew up in Toronto, and she said she has "a lot of experience driving in snowy conditions." Their short-term lease also runs through May, meaning she’s not scrambling to find a place last minute.

But more than anything, the storm — and this most recent trip up to Tahoe — was a reminder to her to be extra-prepared for future journeys. Her advice to other visitors is sound: Bring an emergency kit with food, water, candles and a match and gear to tackle the snow.

"Think of yourself as a survivalist, even though it's Lake Tahoe," she said. "Your health and safety comes first and everything else can wait."

Reassure governors

Biden looks to reassure governors amid Omicron surge and long lines for tests

Biden acknowledged the shortages that hit several states ahead of the holidays, conceding that he had not done enough to prepare for the rising demand.

By ADAM CANCRYN

Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson is pressing the White House to further accelerate production of rapid Covid-19 tests, telling President Joe Biden on Monday that testing availability has become “a real challenge” amid the Omicron-fueled surge in cases.

“The need is great to do more in terms of the rapid tests and the availability of [them],” he said, adding that rapid tests are particularly critical to ensuring children can safely attend school in person.

Speaking with Biden at the outset of a call between governors and the White House Covid-19 response team, Hutchinson, a Republican who is currently chair of the National Governors Association, praised the federal government’s coordination with governors on test manufacturing.

But he also cautioned that a new plan to buy and distribute 500 million free rapid tests could interfere with state-level efforts already underway to boost supply.

“Make sure that we do not let federal solutions stand in the way of state solutions,” Hutchinson said, calling the initiative “great, but obviously that drives up the supply chain for the solutions we might offer as governor.”

Biden in his opening remarks touted his administration’s work to boost testing availability and tamp down the surge, pointing to the planned 500 million-test purchase and a separate initiative that will soon require private insurers to reimburse the cost of at-home tests.

A White House official later emphasized that the federal government's test purchases would come from a combination of new manufacturers and additional production capacity so as to "minimize disruption of existing production capacity of these tests, supply to retail or existing manufacturers' commitments states or organizations."

Biden, during his talk with the governors, acknowledged the shortages that hit several states ahead of the holidays, referencing "long lines" seen around the country and conceding that he had not done enough to prepare for the rising demand.

“It’s clearly not enough — if we’d have known, we would’ve gone harder, quicker,” Biden said. “We have to do better and we will.”

The meeting with governors came after a week that is expected to drive Covid-19 case counts sharply upward, fueled by the more transmissible Omicron variant and increased holiday travel.

The U.S. is averaging more than 200,000 cases per day, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, by far the highest level since last winter’s surge. Earlier on Monday, top health official Anthony Fauci suggested it would be “reasonable” to consider requiring vaccination for domestic travel.

But administration officials say no such mandates are imminent. The CDC instead on Monday slashed its recommended isolation timeline for those who contract Covid-19 to five days, from the original 10 — a change that some health experts and state officials had called for in recent weeks.

New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, a Republican, in a statement called the shortened timeline "an important step in keeping our economy, supply chains, and schools open and running."

Biden during the call also offered an optimistic view of the next few months, telling governors that Omicron is a source of concern but not “panic” and that the federal government will be well-prepared to support states hit hard by the surge.

“This is not like March of 2020,” he said. “We’re prepared and we know what it takes to save lives, protect people and keep schools and businesses open. We just have to stay focused and continue to work together.”

Quarantine time

 CDC cuts recommended quarantine time amid Omicron surge

The reduction follows the CDC’s move last week to shorten its isolation period for infected health care workers, assuming they are asymptomatic and later test negative.

By ADAM CANCRYN

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Monday said those who test positive for Covid-19 and are asymptomatic need only isolate for five days, not 10, citing growing evidence that people are most infectious in the initial days after developing symptoms.

The announcement follows the CDC’s move last week to shorten its isolation period for infected health care workers, assuming they are asymptomatic and later test negative.

Biden administration health officials have debated the policy shift in recent weeks, especially amid a surge in Omicron cases that has raised concerns about worker shortages and fueled calls to revisit the agency’s quarantine guidelines.

Since the pandemic's earliest days, the CDC had recommended that Covid-positive people isolate for 10 days. Under its new guidance, the agency now advises patients to isolate for just five as long as they are asymptomatic, and then wear a mask for another five days. The policy is the same regardless of vaccination status.

The CDC also adjusted its guidance for people exposed to Covid-19 but who have not yet tested positive, recommending a five-day quarantine followed by five days of masking for those who are unvaccinated or have yet to receive their booster shot.

People who are fully vaccinated and have received a booster do not need to quarantine if exposed to Covid-19, but should wear a mask for 10 days, the CDC said.

The update comes after officials reviewed data showing most people pass on the virus within the first five days of infection. The administration also faced growing pressure to alter its quarantine guidelines as Omicron’s surge threatened to leave businesses shorthanded, despite indications that the variant causes less severe illness than the Delta variant.

Multiple airlines canceled hundreds of flights this past weekend due to staff shortages.

On a call Monday morning with governors, President Joe Biden expressed openness to slashing the quarantine timeline, Gov. Chris Sununu said afterward.

Sununu, a Republican, called the potential reduction “an important step in keeping our economy, supply chains and schools open and running.”